I don't think it's fake, every detail looks correct. Nick, can you read the license plate # on the original hi-res pic you took? That could be helpful.
I want to say its real but those intakes below the ferrari emblem on the side seem off. I looked up pictures of the blue one spotted in pebble beach and it only had 2 intake slots. It could be real though, some seem to have 3 slots. Wouldn't be surprised to see the real deal in Carmel. Also, I heard that after the price of the original 250 gto began to skyrocket ferrari build some factory certified replicas for owners to race (so as to not ruin $30mil cars). This could be one of those.
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